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Friday, June 25, 2010

The Draft: Analysis


#12: Xavier Henry, SF: B
I like this pick but don't love it. Henry should provide the bench scoring the Grizzlies are looking for and is a very smart basketball player. He is a great shooter and will bring the house down at FedEx Forum next year when he buries back-to-back treys. He isn't the most athletic player ever, but that's ok; he's very strong and uses his body effectively. I think he will develop into a very solid 6th or 7th man for the Griz. His problem is that he is not a very good defensive player, something the Grizzlies need. In my opinion, this pick should have been Patrick Patterson. He is NBA-ready, plays good defense and is extremely effecient. I can see Patterson being an impact rookie and a bona-fide starter a few years down the road. I just really hope this pick doesn't come back to bite us...

#25: $3 Million from Dallas in exchange for Dominique Jones: C
If this trade helps us re-sign Rudy Gay or grab a high-quality free agent, then this move gets a B. If not, it makes Michael Heisley the cheapest owner in NBA history and gets an F. The Grizzlies have said all along that keeping Rudy is the team's biggest priority this offseason. Well, if an extra $3 mil can keep him here, I'm all for it. If he does leave, we'll be up a creek without a small forward and things will be very bad.

#28: Greivis Vasquez, PG: D
A lot of people I've talked to love this pick. I'm not sure why. Let's go over the good things that Vasquez brings to the table: size, passing ability, decent scorer and a passion to play for the Griz. At 6'6", he is tall for a point guard and uses that height advantage to see plays develop. That leads to the best part of his game: passing. He is good at creating for teammates and sees intricate passing lanes. He is also a decent scorer (at the college level, at least) who finds a way to score and can knock it down from the charity stripe. The most interesting thing about him is his genuine excitement about playing for Memphis. He celebrated wildly when his name was called and is sure to work hard to do well.

Now let's examine why Vasquez is a bad pick. At the NBA level, he is unathletic. He will not be able to keep up with quicker guards and will not be able to finish inside against faster opponents. His lack of athleticism leads to the worst part of his game: he plays terrible defense. After watching his pre-draft workout, the Commercial Appeal's Ron Tillery described Vasquez eloquently: "he struggled with on-the-ball defense." According to nbadraft.net, Vasquez "does not project well as a defender at the next level" and "does not put forward much of an effort on that end." Is anyone else seeing a pattern here? The man wouldn't make All-Defense in a wheelchair basketball league. The Grizzlies are just fine offensively. Defense is where we need help. We were one of the worst teams in the NBA on the defensive end last season, giving up a 6th-worst 104 points per game. Bringing in a backup point guard who can't play defense is asking for trouble.

Overall, I'm in "wait and see" mode with this draft. I think Xavier can (and will) become a solid NBA player. If we can parlay the $3 million we got from Dominique Jones into signing Rudy Gay, then it was a good move. And if Greasy Vasquez can learn to play D, then great. I really hope I'm wrong about Vasquez. I would love for him to develop into an effective point guard and I hope his great passing overshadows his shaky defense. I just don't think it will. Finally, I wish we had been more agressive in trade negotiations. I wish we had dealt the 25th and 28th picks to Sota for the 16th and picked up Eric Bledsoe. But, alas, we didn't.

I thought I would wake up this morning much happier than I am. We had such high hopes and seemed so confident.

I hope this draft turns out well,
Owen

Grizzlies Take Xavier Henry and Greivis Vasquez

Here's a rundown of the Grizzlies picks last night. I'll be back with analysis in just a little while.

#12: Xavier Henry, 6'6", SG, Kansas

#25: Dominique Jones, 6'4", SG, South Florida (This pick was later traded to Dallas for $3 million)

#28: Greivis Vasquez, 6'6", PG, Maryland

Owen

Thursday, June 24, 2010

The Draft: It's Here

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard Flight 2010 of Grizzlies Airlines. This is your captain, Michael Heisley, speaking. Assisting me in the cockpit today is GM Chris Wallace. Before we depart, please make sure you have checked all preconceived notions about the Memphis Grizzlies and have stowed all personal vendettas against myself and the co-pilot. We have evaluated many destinations and will be prepared to choose the right one. We've got this flight under control (I hope). While we're waiting to take off, I would like to apologize for last year's flight. For some inexplicable reason, we flew all the way to Tanzania when we should have just stayed in Memphis (or maybe flown to Italy). And don't worry about that detour to Missouri, either; that's in the past. We're using this flight to get better immediately.

I want to let you know that we're the 12th plane in line to take off, although that could change by tonight. We're also slotted at 25th and 28th, but I'm hoping to trade those positions for something better. I don't know if some of you heard a rumor in the terminal last night about our sending Zach Randolph to the Minnesota flight team in exchange for Al Jefferson, but those talks are now dead. However, we still might work something out with them regarding our positions.

I'm getting different signals from the control tower about our first stop today, ladies and gentlemen. Depending on where the other planes go, we might fly to Kentucky to pick up Patrick Patterson, out to Kansas to get Xavier Henry or to Texas for Damion James. Indications are that a plane before us will have already been to Fresno to add Paul George, but you never know. There are 6 or 7 destinations on the radar right now.

GrizzAir has interviewed all four, as well as many other candidates, and they were all very impressive. Patterson can contribute right away and reminds many in the business of a seasoned flight attendant. Henry would really aid us on our longer flights; as a crew, we only reached 34% of our long-range destinations last season. While with Kansas, he reached 42% of his. After an impressive emergency interview yesterday, we think James could also work for the team. He has all the physical tools to be a great contributor, but questions linger about whether or not he can channel those tools into basketball success. George can fill a couple different roles for us; he can be our #2 man (as he proved in his interview) or could play the #3 spot if passenger-favorite Rudy Gay leaves.

As a reminder, flights are going to be trading and shuffling all night. There's no telling who will get picked up where. The only sure thing is that the Washington flight has already landed in Kentucky and will pick up John Wall. Regardless, wherever we land, we will be a better team next year. We might even be one of the 16 teams who qualify for flights after the regular flight season. We have to stay optimistic.

Well, ladies and gentlemen, it's time. If you could, please turn on any cell phones, laptops or HD-TV's you may have. For your entertainment, our in-flight movie today is made by ESPN. Prepare to be overwhelmed as co-hosts Stuart Scott and Jay Bilas guide you through the evening's flights. I'm now getting word from the control tower that we're about to begin, so if you could please fasten your seatbelts, we'll be ready to go.

See you when we land,
Owen

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

1st Annual GrizzLife Mock Draft

What you're about to read is by no means correct. There are way too many variables to account for when making a mock draft for it to turn out correctly. I have not accounted for trades (there will no doubt be many) and have probably insulted someone with my projections. But that's what they are: projections. It's what I think might happen. Use this to gain familiarity with some of the prospects and feel free to comment with your input.

Ladies and gentlemen, without further ado: the 1st Annual GrizzLife Mock NBA Draft

1. Washington Wizards- John Wall, PG, Kentucky
Simply put, he's the best draft prospect since Kevin Durant in 2007. He reminds scouts of Derrick Rose with his jaw-dropping athleticism, superior finishing ability and endless motor. He is a perfect fit for the Wizards, who are eager to distance themselves from gun-wielding Gilbert Arenas and his massive contract. Look for Wall to make an immediate impact in the NBA.

2. Philapelphia 76'ers- Evan Turner, SG, Ohio St.
The 2010 NCAA Player-of-the-Year is far and away the best ball-handler in the draft. That, coupled with his scoring ability (20.4 ppg) and athleticism, make him a leading candidate for 2011 Rookie-of-the-Year. He should start immediately for the Sixers, despite the presence of Andre Iguodala at SG. Turner is too good not to start.

3. New Jersey Nets- Wes Johnson, SF, Syracuse
Sources are now indicating that the Nets will use this pick for Johnson. His athleticism and offensive versatility make him too good to pass up and he could start immediately over Terrance Williams. Johnson has one of the best jump shots in the draft and uses his quickness and leaping ability to finish from virtually anywhere on the floor. Additionally, he is a tenacious rebounder and provides energy on the defensive end.

4. Minnesota Timberwolves- Derrick Favors, PF, Georgia Tech
Favors has scouts giddy with his rare combination of size (6'10"), strength (245 lbs.), wingspan (7'4") and defensive ability (8.4 rebounds and 2.1 blocks per-game at Tech). He has a solid post game, a great work ethic and probably the highest ceiling of any prospect this year. Since the T-Wolves' frontcourt is crowded with Al Jefferson and Kevin Love, Favors will have time to develop his game.

5. Sacramento Kings- DeMarcus Cousins, C, Kentucky
Cousins' stock has fallen in the last week as concerns over his work ethic and perceived character issues mount. However, I believe that the Kings will find him hard to pass up at the #5 slot. Cousins is superior to most prospects in terms of rebounding (best in the draft) size, strength, length and offensive ability. If he can add some muscle and develop a strong work ethic, he is a threat to average a 20-10 in the NBA.

6. Golden State Warriors- Greg Monroe, PF, Georgetown
With Cousins off the board, the Warriors will likely settle for the 6'11" Monroe. He posesses a very effective post game and is the best interior distributor in the draft (averaged 4 assists-per-game in 2010). Additionally, Monroe clogs up the paint on defense and is an above-average rebounder and shot blocker. He should fit in well with (and possibly supplant) starting PF Anthony Tolliver immediately.

7. Detroit Pistons- Ed Davis, PF, North Carolina

The Pistons crave a big man in the draft, and with Favors, Cousins and Monroe off the board, the Pistons will likely go with the next best thing. In Davis, they get a hard-working, efficient forward who can score in a variety of ways and plays great defense. He doesn't have the highest ceiling in the draft, but would immediately become a force for the Pistons.

8. Los Angeles Clippers- Al-Farouq Aminu, SF, Wake Forest
With the exception of John Wall and Terrico White, Aminu is the most athletic player in the draft. His offensive game needs some refining but his size, length and quickness make him a defensive stopper. His versatility allows him to guard most any opponent he faces. Once last year's #1 pick Blake Griffin comes back, the Clippers will have one of the league's more formidable frontcourts. [Jumpshot Griesbeck, who lived on Aminu's freshman hall, believes that Aminu "will become a flourishing role player, if not a star."]

9. Utah Jazz- Ekpe Udoh, PF, Baylor
With Carlos Boozer becoming a free agent July 1, the Jazz will likely be in need of help down low. The 6'10", 237 lb. Udoh would be a great complement to Paul Millsap. He is one of the best defenders in the draft and is also a great rebounder. His lack of a fully developed offensive game works well with the Jazz, who feature scorers in Deron Williams, Millsap, Andre Kirilenko, etc.

10. Indiana Pacers- Luke Babbit, PF, Nevada
Pacers director of basketball operations Larry Bird loves his white players and Babbit would fit right in. Babbit, who has seen his draft stock rise this month, is one of the best shooters in the draft and would add a solid scoring punch off the bench. His lack of quickness on the defensive end makes him a defensive liability, but his offensive versatility and high basketball IQ make him an attractive pick at #10.

11. New Orleans Hornets- Paul George, SF, Fresno State
The Hornets are needy at small forward and George would be a great fit for them. At 6'9", he is a big small forward and his super athletic ability makes him an attractive NBA prospect. George has an above-average jump shot and can score from anywhere on the floor. Defensively, he needs to develop some, but his versatility should help him do so. He has been compared to the Pacers' Danny Granger.

12. Memphis Grizzlies- Patrick Patterson, PF, Kentucky
Patterson is possibly the most NBA-ready player in the draft, which fits perfectly with the Grizzlies, a team that is looking for immediate spark off the bench. His size and strength make him an ideal forward and he uses his body well when playing defense and rebounding. Offensively, he has a handful of post moves but also possesses a smooth mid-range game and even has a decent outside shot. It is interesting to note that he is a former high school teammate of OJ Mayo.

13. Toronto Raptors- Cole Aldrich, C, Kansas
By no means is Aldrich the most exciting player in the draft. However, he has the body of a center (6'11" 236 lb.), plays good defense, rebounds well, blocks shots and has an efficient post game. He would be a good sidekick for Andrea Bargnani and could play power forward when Chris Bosh leaves.

14. Houston Rockets- Xavier Henry, SG, Kansas
Henry is one of the strongest players in the draft and also possesses one of the best jump shots. His 6'6", 210 lb. frame is built for slashing to the basket, but he is also skilled enough to pull up and shoot. When he gets to the free-throw line, he is more than effective (78%). Defensively, he disrupts passing lanes well and can also rebound. He is an extremely hard worker and could develop into an NBA star. He would be another servicable role player for the Rockets, who love a scoring guard or forward.

15. Milwaukee Bucks- Gordon Hayward, SF, Butler
Thanks to his epic performance in the 2010 NCAA Tournament, the smooth-shooting Hayward saw his draft stock rise and then rise some more. Some mock drafts have him going as high as #7, but I think that is too much of a reach. He fits here because the Bucks are likely to lose shooting guard John Salmons to free agency and the trade for Chris Douglas-Roberts only cures some of their woes. Hayward, at 6'8" 211 lbs., is a prolific scorer and uses great basketball instincts to create shots for himself. He is weak on the defensive end, however, and will likely be no more than a solid role player in the NBA.


16. Minnesota Timberwolves- Hassan Whiteside, C, Marshall
For now, let's assume that the T-Wolves keep this pick; no one knows yet if it will go to the Grizzlies. Whiteside was originally projected to be a top-10 pick, but teams are questioning his passion and work ethic and he is now likely to fall out of the lottery. The 7-footer from Marshall blocks shots like it's his job and is one of the better defenders in the draft. The problem is, virtually everything about his game is a work in progress and he will need some time to develop. But with Ryan Hollins the only servicable center assured to be around next season, the Wolves need someone to put down low.


17. Chicago Bulls- Avery Bradley, SG, Texas
With the Bulls dumping contracts left and right to make room for LeBron James, they're not looking for a savior in this draft. They're just looking for a role player to come off the bench and play quality minutes. Bradley can do that for them. At 6'3", he is undersized for a shooting guard, but makes up for it by playing great defense and shooting the ball well.


18. Miami Heat- James Anderson, SG, Oklahoma State
With Dwyane Wade not guaranteed for next season, the Heat would be wise to draft a shooting guard. At #18, Anderson will likely be the best available 2-guard. He can drive to the basket and finish but can also score from outside. Simply, he can score in bunches. He is a solid rebounder and plays adequate defense.


19. Boston Celtics- Daniel Orton, C, Kentucky
With Kendrick Perkins the only center likely to remain on the Celtics roster, they will need to pick up another one in either free agency or the draft. The free agent class lacks in centers, but Orton would be a good pick up at #19. He was overshadowed by DeMarcus Cousins last season but does have the attributes to be a good center. He is a bit raw offensively at this stage, but would benefit from playing with the veteran Celtics.

20. San Antonio Spurs- Elliott Williams, SG, Memphis
There are concerns mounting over the severity of Williams' foot injury, but he insists it's nothing. Who knows how serious it is, but the fact remains that he has only worked out for two teams (the Spurs and Rockets). San Antonio seems to be confident about his condition and is excited about his athleticism and almost limitless potential. A great finisher, Williams would inject much-needed youth into an old San Antonio roster.

21. Oklahoma City Thunder- Eric Bledsoe, PG, Kentucky
The Thunder aren't particularly needy at any position, so they will likely just draft the best player available. At this point, that is Bledsoe. Like Orton, he was lost in the shuffle behind Wall and Cousins, but that doesn't mean he can't play too. He is extremely athletic and quick, and can score easily. His height (6'1") and lack of refined talent are the only things keeping him from being a lottery pick.

22. Portland Trailblazers- Larry Sanders, C, VCU
Portland can't wait around for 2007 #1 pick Greg Oden to develop. He becomes a free agent next summer and is already well on his way to becoming the next Kwame Brown. By picking Sanders, the Blazers can start over at center. He plays great defense, rebounds well, has huge hops, can finish around the basket and has shown marked improvement during his VCU career.

23. Minnesota Timberwolves- Devin Ebanks, SF, West Virginia
At 6'8" 208 lbs, Ebanks has great size for a small forward. That, combined with his superior athleticism, quickness, wingspan and potential, makes him an intriguing prospect. While he lacks an offensive game, he is a tenaciuos rebounder and plays hard-nosed defense. If he commits himself to improving his offensive game, he could be a very good NBA player.

24. Atlanta Hawks- Kevin Seraphin, C, France
With Josh Smith likely to be moved in free agency, the Hawks will have a void to fill down low. Although Seraphin is technically a center, he could play power forward in a pinch. In many ways, he is the prototypical foreign center prospect: still a project but brimming with potential. At 263 lbs. he is very strong for a big man and can easily bang with NBA big men. His other standout feature is that he is a great rebounder. His offensive game is very weak, however, and will take some time to develop.

25. Memphis Grizzlies- Armon Johnson, PG, Nevada
With Mike Conley likely to be the lone point guard under contract after free agency this summer, I expect the Grizzlies to draft a 1 here (if we keep the pick). Johnson had an impressive workout for the Griz and would be a solid backup for Conley. He can distribute the ball well but isn't afraid to create for himself. His athleticism and quickness make up for the holes in his game (somewhat turnover-prone and a shaky jump shot).

26. Oklahoma City Thunder- Terrico White, PG, Ole Miss
White is arguably the most athletically gifted player in the draft, with a 40-inch vertical leap, the lowest body fat in the combine and superb ball-handling skills. Additionally, he has the ability to score from anywhere, but is particularly adept at finishing inside. At 6'5", he has great height for a point guard and could even play shooting guard. He needs to improve his court discipline, however, to become a legitimate NBA player. He is a great late-1st round pick, though, thanks to his tremendous upside.

27. New Jersey Nets- Damion James, SF, Texas
At 6'7" 227 lbs, James has the build of a small forward. He is athletic, quick, agile and can jump out of the gym. He is a great rebounder and plays solid defense. The problem is, he hasn't been able to translate his superior physical gifts into superior basketball talent; at this point, he is still a project. James is too good an athlete to slip into the 2nd round, however, and the Nets will benefit from his presence.

28. Memphis Grizzlies- Lance Stephenson, SG, Cincinnati
Again, Memphis may or may not keep this pick. If we do, Stephenson would be a decent selection. He is very strong, is a superb ball-handler and can knock down a jump shot from all over the court. He also looks to attack the basket in his quest to score. Defensively, he is a bit of a liability, but would procuce immediately for the Griz. The major drawback here is his serious character issues. He had an assault charge in high school and is the antithesis of a good teammate. He's worth a late-1st round flyer pick, though.

29. Orlando Magic- Craig Brackins, PF, Iowa State
Brackins is an above-average big man offensively and possesses a variety of post moves. He is a solid rebounder and can run the floor well. He has been given the dreaded "soft" label, however, and will have to toughen up in order to be effective in the NBA. Learning under Magic center Dwight Howard would help that.

30. Washington Wizards- Solomon Alabi, C, Florida State
If size alone was an indicator of NBA success, then Alabi would be an All-Star. He is 7'1", 237 lbs. with a huge wingspan. Thanks to his height and length, he is a prolific shot-blocker and could make an instant impact for the Wizards thanks to his defense. His lack of offensive skills, however, make him just a backup right now. But with some practice and focus, he could become a force.

There you have it, Grizzlies fans; the 1st Annual GrizzLife Mock Draft. Check back with GrizzLife tonight and tomorrow for continued analysis of the upcoming draft. Also, think good thoughts about the draft; this is a very deep one and we can come away a better team! Believe!

Good night and good luck,
Owen

The Draft: T-Minus 1 Day

There are many things to discuss regarding the upcoming NBA Draft. Let's get right to them.
  • The trade between the Grizzlies and the Minnesota Timberwolves (swapping our 25th and 28th picks for their 16th) has not been finalized yet and may not happen at all. According to multiple sources, the Grizzlies are weighing multiple offers to trade their draft picks and will likely not make a move until the night of the draft. Other trade in the works is a deal with the Portland Trailblazers that would give the Grizzlies the 34th overall pick and cash considerations in exchange for either the 25th or the 28th pick. Memphis GM Chris Wallace has steadfastly affirmed that the team is keeping all options in play and has not committed to anything yet. I believe him. Nothing will be clear until Thursday night, and even then details will probably be muddy.
  • In an "emergency" workout yesterday, Fresno State small forward Paul George showed the Grizzlies that he is fully capable of playing shooting guard in the NBA. In a workout that the Commercial Appeal's Ron Tillery described as "impressive," the 6'9" George ran seamlessly through a variety of shooting guard drills and game situations. Tillery said that he created a buzz with his performance and that he "more than held his own" when guarding smaller guards. George initially cancelled a workout with the Grizzlies, since the presence of Rudy Gay would demote him on the depth chart. However, he showed that the Grizzlies would benefit from selecting him, since he can play either the 2 (as OJ's backup if Rudy stays) or the 3 (if Rudy leaves).
  • In a final emergency workout today, the Grizzlies will evaluate Damion James, the 6'7" small forward out of Texas. James is among a long list of players the Grizzlies are considering with either the 25th or 28th picks (if they keep them).
  • Every sign points to the Grizzlies keeping at least the 12th overall pick. While we are involved in numerous talks regarding our two later picks, it appears that we will keep the 12th pick. Patrick Patterson, Paul George, Xavier Henry and Luke Babbit are all options there. However, with the draft featuring many high-quality players, it's anyone's guess as to who we'll take.

Merry Christmas Eve,

Owen

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

Grizzlies, T-Wolves Trade Picks [UPDATE]

According to ESPN.com's Andy Katz, the Memphis Grizzlies are close to trading their 25th and 28th picks to the Minnesota Timberwolves for the 16th pick. This news comes from "source with direct knowlege of the situation." We at GrizzLife will let you know if (and when) the deal is finalized.

UPDATE: Not so fast. Sources are indicating that the deal has not been finalized yet. If it does go through, it likely won't happen until draft night.

The Draft: T-Minus 2 Days

With just over 48 hours remaining before the 2010 NBA Draft, there is excitement, trepidation and speculation over what the Memphis Grizzlies will do and how those decisions will affect both the 2010-2011 roster and the 2010-2011 payroll.

First, some draft analysis. The Commercial Appeal's Ron Tillery reported this morning that OJ Mayo was never included in trade talks with the New Orleans Hornets regarding a Chris Paul trade. Owner Michael Heisley called the accusations "unequivocally not true." Furthermore, he stated that he did approach the Hornets about dealing for Paul, but that he is not trying to deal any of the team's starting 5 (Conley, Mayo, Gay, Randolph, Gasol).

Tillery stated that the Grizzlies are putting forth an "exhaustive effort" to deal all of their first round picks. Whether or not those efforts come to fruition remains to be seen. However, I believe that the Grizzlies will keep the 12th pick and use the 25th and 28th picks to trade for a bench player (the list of possible players there is too long to list). There are also rumors that Heisley, Wallace and company are interested in trading up in the draft to grab Syracuse's Wes Johnson. The 6'7" swingman is expected to be taken either 4th (by Minnesota) or 5th (by Sacramento) overall.

Another wrinkle in the Grizzlies' draft preparation comes with the announcement that Fresno State small forward will participate in a workout for the Grizzlies. He snubbed the team in a workout earlier this month, frustrated that, if picked by the Grizzlies, he would be a backup to Rudy Gay. The Grizzlies will be evaluating him at shooting guard in this last-minute workout. Many prognosticators have George selected between the 10th and 15th picks.

Stay tuned to GrizzLife for last-minute draft analysis and team news. Tomorrow, we will provide you with the first annual GrizzLife Mock Draft and on Thursday, look for an analysis of the 2010-2011 payroll and how it will affect our draft and offseason moves. Of course, on Friday, GrizzLife will be your home for a draft recap and an analysis of the Grizzlies' selection(s).

Go Grizz!
Owen

Monday, June 21, 2010

The Draft: T-Minus 3 Days

Well, Grizzlies fans, we're on the home stretch. Only three days remain until the (crucial) draft. After a weekend of workouts and contract extensions, however, we are still left with much speculation. Neither GM Chris Wallace nor anyone else in the organization has tipped their hand about a possible trade and the list of players the Grizzlies might select in the draft grows with every workout. Although we don't know much, let's go over what we do know.

Patrick Patterson is now a frontrunner to be selected with the 12th pick. The 6'9" power forward from Kentucky impressed Griz management in Sunday's workout and possesses all the skills the Grizzlies are looking for. By simply showing up to the workout, Patterson did better than many other prospects (who have stood up the Memphis workout). Once play began, he was even more impressive. "We wanted to see him go out on the perimeter and guard people," said Tony Barone, director of player personell. "We wanted to see him take advantage of size mismatches. I think we got that accomplished today." Patterson is an excellent blend of size, strength and athleticism. He is a burly 240 pounds and can bang with bigger forwards down low. Offensively, he has both a post game and a mid-range game, and even developed an outside shot this season. His offensive versatility would make defenses stretch the floor, opening up opportunities for other players. Defensively, he is smart and uses his size and length well. He averaged 7.4 rebounds and 1.3 blocks this season. Overall, he is a hard worker, understands the game and would make a great pick at #12.

The "trade" door is wide open. Regarding a possible trade, the only thing we know for sure is that we don't know. Wallace, Heisley, et. al are mum on any possibilities, stating only that "there's possibilities out there on the trade front and an almost unlimited number of players with these three picks... There's still a lot of ground to be covered." Maybe Grizzlies management will give a better indication of their intentions closer to Thursday, but don't count on it.

This is going to be a crazy summer. Between the draft and the most anticipated free agency period ever (which begins July 1), the biggest summer in NBA history is heating up. When the dust settles, the entire landscape of the league will likely be different and it's anyone's guess as to what that landscape will look like. Hopefully, the Grizzlies will emerge a better team, one ready to challenge for a playoff spot.

I'm excited about the possibilities,
Owen

Sunday, June 20, 2010

Same Story, Different Chapter

Yet again, another outsider is hating on the city of Memphis. It’s no surprise to me and shouldn’t be to you. According to Forbes and John Hollinger, Memphis sucks. I beg to differ. I take pride in our city and in the Grizzlies. My love for the city is another topic and another post. I wanted to share what John Hollinger wrote on ESPN.com. He ranked the best to worse NBA franchises, and he put the Grizz dead last. Here’s what he had to say:

“Well, somebody has to be the league's most forlorn franchise, and it turns out that somebody is the Grizzlies. Winning an average of just 27 games a season in 15 years of tenuous NBA existence, this is a team that has managed to scale the lofty 25-win mountain just five times.

The Grizzlies also switched cities -- and countries -- after just six seasons in Vancouver, opting to bolt for Memphis despite the city's questionable economic base. They're the second-most popular basketball team in their own city, and might have the second-largest payroll too. Being run on the cheap to offset poor crowds has turned into a vicious cycle -- there's no reason to care so nobody comes, which only further discourages spending on a winner.

Cost concerns prompted the team to trade All-Star Pau Gasol in a sweetheart of a deal for the Lakers, and after three straight playoff seasons in Memphis earlier this decade the Griz returned to near the bottom of the NBA heap. Even those three years come with an asterisk -- though Memphis made the postseason three times, it has never won a playoff game.”

We true Grizzlifers may have a different spin on Hollinger’s story, but even the most optimistic fan can’t deny some truths in the story. But here is to hope and a future. Let’s pray the Grizz get lucky and land a future star. I believe in Memphis and the Grizzlies, and hopefully in a few years, John Hollinger and the rest of the country will too.

Grizz for Life

Griz Give Wallace Extension

The Grizzlies officially announced on Sunday that general manager Chris Wallace has signed a multi-year contract extension. Although the exact terms of the deal have not been disclosed yet, it is likely to keep Wallace in Memphis for at least the next three years. The deal is a vote of high confidence from owner Michael Heisley, who has given Wallace control over many aspects of the Grizzlies organization.

Is this contract extension a good thing for the Grizzlies? In my opinion, yes and no. I say yes because, despite his oft-ridiculed decisions, Wallace has turned the Grizzlies from Western Conference doormats into contenders. The Pau Gasol trade, his most widely publicized transaction, has actually proved semi-fruitful for the Griz. Marc Gasol, acquired in the trade, has developed into one of the NBA's top centers and the Grizzlies own the Lakers' first round pick in this year's draft. Additionally, he spearheaded the trade of Kevin Love for OJ Mayo.

However, I say it's a bad thing because part of me wants some new blood. The Grizzlies are 86-160 under Wallace and he made the brilliant decision to fire the team's scouts. He lets Heisley weild WAY too much influence in the team's basketball decisions. I hope that he addressed that in the contract negotiations. The horrible decison to draft Hasheem Thabeet was engineered by Heisley; Wallace and the other basketball minds in the front office should have stopped that.

Overall, I'm lukewarm on Wallace. After this draft, I'll have a much stronger opinion. A lot will change in the next week.

Can't wait for the draft,
Owen

Thursday, June 17, 2010

The Draft: T-Minus 6 Days

Hello, again, Grizzlies fans. I hope this post finds you well. With an NBA Finals Game 7 and the NBA Draft in the same 7-day span, I sure am feeling good. As a Grizzlies fan, however, my focus is more on the Draft than the playoffs. Will we trade all (or any) of our picks? If we keep the 12th pick, who will we take? Will potential first-rounders keep snubbing our workouts (see: Hayward, Gordon; Bledsoe, Eric; George, Paul; Udoh, Ekpe; Sanders, Larry)? Thanks to GrizzLife, however, you have answers to those questions. Are they the right answers? Who knows...



Will we trade our picks?



For weeks, basketball insiders have quietly assumed that the Grizzlies would likely keep the 12th pick and package the 25th and 28th picks in a deal. Sources close to the team have indicated, however, that if the Grizzlies front office finds a player they truly like at any of those positions, they will keep the pick. I agree.



Owner Michael Heisley and GM Chris Wallace have indicated that the 12th pick would be used to draft either an athletic forward or a scoring guard. With the 25th and 28th picks, the Grizzlies are searching for a 1) backup to point guard Mike Conley and 2) a wildcard player that team executives like.



Bottom line: I bet we keep the 12th pick and trade either the 25th or 28th pick. Who would we package in that trade? That's difficult to say, but Carroll or Thabeet are certainly options. This morning, Commercial Appeal reporter Ronald Tillery reported that the Grizzlies are in talks with the New Orleans Hornets about a possible trade involving Hornets' point guards Chris Paul or Darren Collison. It is not clear who or what the Grizzlies would give up to get these players, but I would be thrilled with either one.



If we keep the 12th pick, who will we take?



All the evidence points to the Grizzlies going after an athletic forward or an electrifying guard with the 12th overall pick. Regarding my previous post, the Grizzlies are unlikely to take Baylor's Ekpe Udoh. He snubbed the Grizzlies in a June 16th workout and is falling on many draft boards. Additionally, Nevada's Luke Babbit, once thought to be the frontrunner for the 12th pick, is not so anymore. A colleague who attended Babbit's workout for the Grizzlies said that he seemed lazy and disinterested. Additionally, he was the first one in the group to run out gas. However, that will likely not deter the Grizzlies from taking him, since he compiled an outstanding season for Nevada.



That said, who is on the Grizzlies' radar now? Two shooting guards who worked out Sunday, Kansas' Xavier Henry and Oklahoma State's James Anderson, were very impressive in their workouts and Memphis management was excited about both of them. "We were pleased with what these guys did," said Tony Barone, director of player personell.

And although they have snubbed the Grizzlies in recent workouts, Gordon Hayward and Paul George are thought to be good fits for the Grizzlies at the small forward position. Despite his unwillingness to work out for the team last year, Hasheem Thabeet was still selected by the Grizzlies. The lesson, as always, with the Grizzlies: don't count anything out.

Will potential first-rounders keep snubbing the Grizzlies in workouts?

After several private workout sessions, the number of players refusing to work out for the Grizzlies is growing: Gordon Hayward, Eric Bledsoe, Ekpe Udoh, Larry Sanders and Avery Bradley have all pulled out of workouts for various reasons. Hayward cited a staunch refusal to play for the team while Bledsoe, Udoh and Sanders provided weak "medical" excuses for their absence. Only Bradley seems to have a legitimate ailment (an ankle injury).

With only one workout remaining before Thursday's draft, all indications are that those players will participate. Kentucky's Patrick Patterson (who is a viable option at the #12 spot), West Virginia's Devan Ebanks and Ole Miss' Terrico White (who happens to hail from Memphis) are the players featured in Sunday's workout.

Hopefully they do participate and the Grizzlies will be able to make a more informed decision about their three picks. This is an important draft for a young, rebuilding team and it would be devestating if we blew it.

Here's hoping we don't,
Owen

Wednesday, June 9, 2010

The Draft: A Letter to Michael Heisley

To: Michael Heisley
From: Owen Mercer
CC: Chris Wallace

Dear Michael,

You don't know me. I'm just a common man with an uncommon passion for the Memphis Grizzlies. No, I'm not a season ticket holder and no, I don't buy merchandise in the Grizz Den (or whatever the team store is called). You won't make much money off of me. I only come to games when I'm home from college and then only buy the Sonic Saver tickets.

What I lack in revenue, I make up for in passion. I come to every game I can, I follow the team colsely and engage in heated debates with friends about the Grizzlies and the NBA. To put it bluntly, being a Grizzlies fan has been a struggle. The elation of three straight playoff appearances was quashed by our failing to win a single postseason game. The next three seasons were downright miserable. Last season renewed hope within me. That we can be a successful franchise; that we can be a marketbale team; basically, that we can matter in the NBA. Now it is time to improve on the strides made last season.

That is why I am writing you; to discuss the NBA Draft. As you (hopefully) know, the Memphis Grizzlies are owners of the 12th, 25th and 28th overall picks in this year's draft. You have often said that the draft is one of the best ways to improve the team. Well, Michael, now is the time to put your money where your mouth is. I know that will be difficult for you, to put your money anywhere. You're about as free-spending as an 85-year-old on a fixed income and seem to look everywhere to cut spending. I say that to say this: please don't trade the picks for overpriced players just to save a few bucks. The payroll for the 2011 season is already $10 million less than 2010. There is value to be had in the draft.

After last season, I see two main areas that we need to improve: bench production and defense. With three first round picks, surely we can adequately address those needs. Also, Rudy Gay and Ronnie Brewer may not be around next season (althought that's another story) and we need to consider that when drafting.

Just because we don't own a high (aka top-10) pick doesn't mean we can't have a successful draft. Recently, a large number of NBA stars have been drafted later in the first round: Rajon Rondo, Danny Granger, David West amd Gerald Wallace to name a few. Does this mean we will get players like these? Not necessarily. But it does mean that we can. This may not be the deepest draft in history, but there are always diamonds in the rough waiting to be uncovered. Based on draft projections, what players might be around at 12, 26 and 28? At #12, I think Ekpe Udoh or Luke Babbit would be great selections.

Udoh is a 6'10" 237-lb. power forward who just completed his junior season at Baylor. Size-wise, he is very similar to Kevin Durant (just add 1" of height, 1/2" of wingspan and 7 pounds). Although he is nowhere close to elite as an offensive player, he has the makings of a star on the defensive end. Last season, he averaged an astounding 3.9 blocks per game. In watching film of him, you notice that he uses his length extremely well and keeps his blocked shots in play.

Additionally, he rebounds extremely well (9.8 per game), something that would fit well with the Grizz, who were one of the NBA's best rebounding clubs last season. Udoh uses his quickness to gain an edge on the defensive end, where he would make an immediate impact for the team.

His quickness also aids his otherwise-weak offensive game. He is awkward and indecisive in the post and lacks a consistent repitoire of moves. That noted, he has vastly improved his offense throughout the past few seasons and emerged as a legitimate scoring threat for Baylor (14 points per game). It is likely that he will continue his offensive development in the NBA.

Overall, Udoh is a lanky, above-average defender whose offensive misgivings will greatly improve in the NBA. Where would he fit on the Grizzlies? He would replace Captain Inept (Hasheem Thabeet) and his sidekick Lieutenant Useless (DeMarre Carroll) as a spell for Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph and would provide a positive spark off the bench. If he's around at #12, I would applaud if we took him.

If Udoh doesn't excite you, how about Luke Babbit at #12? The 6'9", 218-lb. forward from Nevada would be a great pick as well. Simply, he is one of the best scorers in the draft. Last season, he averaged 22.1 points per game (8th in the nation) while shooting 43% from downtown and 91% from the charity stripe (5th in the nation). Besides a great jump shot, he has also developed a smooth post game. Thanks to a 37.5" vertical, he's not afraid to throw down a dunk either.

Moreover, he averaged an impressive 8.9 rebounds per game last season. He uses high energy to gain the rebounding edge over bigger or faster opponents. That energy makes him effective at both ends of the floor and he would definitely bring added tempo to the Grizzlies.

What's wrong with him? He is a defensive liability due to his lack of quickness and strength. When guarding quicker small forwards, he would likely get beaten more often than not. Additionally, he may not do well down low offensively when guarded by big 7-footers.

Overall, though, he would be a phenomenal pick. His scoring, energy and high basketball IQ make him a fun player to watch and Grizzlies fans would likely take to him quickly. If Rudy Gay or Ronnie Brewer were to leave Memphis, I believe he could jump into the starting rotation right away.

Now, Michael, don't forget about our 25th and 28th picks. I know you'll probably end up trading them to save yourself some money, though. Although there is no way to tell who will be around late in the first round, here are four solid players who might be: Damion James, Elliott Williams, Armon Johnson and Quincy Pondexter.

James is a 6'7", 227-lb. small forward who just finished a stellar 4-year career at Texas. He is a top-of-the-charts athlete (3rd in the combine in the lane agility drill, 7th in the combine in the 3/4 court sprint) and uses that athleticism to guard virtually any opponent he is matched up against. Did I mention that he is one of the best rebounders in the draft? He is the Big 12's all-time leading rebounder and uses his 7-foot wingspan and 35" vertical jump to reach any ball that comes near him. His negatives are poor ball-handling, the lack of a consistent jump shot, horrible free throw shooting (63% for his career) and age (he'll turn 23 in October). However, if available, his athleticism and marked offensive improvement through college (18 points per game in 2010) may make him too sweet to pass up, especially if Rudy heads out of town.

Elliott Williams is another solid option at either #25 or #28. The 6'4", 180-lb. shooting guard from Memphis and Duke is long, athletic and quick. Offensively, the lefty is extremely effective in traffic close to the basket. He is better-suited for a shooting guard, but could run the point in a pinch. However, he is not a very good jump shooter, 3-point shooter or free throw shooter. Basically, his offensive game is limited when he's away from the basket. Defensively, his athleticism, length and quickness make him an above-average against both smaller and bigger opponents. Additionally, he has a high basketball IQ and possesses loads of potential (especially if he develops a consistent jump shot).

If he is around, I would be happy if you took Armon Johnson. As Babbit's teammate at Nevada, the 6'3" point guard averaged 15.7 points and 5.6 assists per game. He is extremely athletic and has great size for a point guard. He is not exactly a pass-first point guard, but has greatly improved at creating shots for teammates. He is a solid finisher and has a decent jumper. Picking him would also address our need at the point guard position. Mike Conley has been good but seems to leave something to be desired and Jamaal Tinsley is getting old. Johnson's drawbacks are a lack of point guard-specific skills (which is what the Grizzlies need), poor leadership skills, prone to turnovers and a shaky 3-point shot. He has potential, though, and would be a good late-1st round pick.

Finally, another good late-1st round choice would be Quincy Pondexter, a 6'7", 215 lb. small forward from Washington. He is an impressive athlete and is very strong for his size. His offensive game, which improved steadily throughout his collegiate career, consists mostly of slashing to the basket and finishing inside. He uses above average quickness and explosiveness to make up for below average ball-handling skills. His mid-range game is effective but he has an inconsistent 3-point shot. His free throw shooting (84%) is solid, which is good considering how often he gets to the line. (He finished 24th in the country last season with 178 made free throws). Defensively, he is very good and exhibits tremendous hustle in both guarding opponents and rebounding. He could effectively guard a smaller guard or a bigger forward. Overall, he is an effective scorer (19.3 points per game), practices and plays hard, defends well and would inject athleticism into the Grizzlies roster. As with James, he would also be good Rudy Gay insurance.

Well, Michael, there's my advice. Take it or leave it (you'll probably leave it). I have confidence in our scouts' ability to evaluate players and I'm sure we'll be well prepared come June 24th. Wait...what's that?? We don't have scouts?? Oh yeah, that's right. You fired them last summer. I know you're always looking to save a buck, but when we are the only team in the NBA without full-time scouts, something's wrong. It's not an accident that the NBA's playoff teams all employ several scouts.

Do you truly want to be part of a playoff team? Yes? Then start acting like it. Hire a few scouts, execute a smart draft and don't be afraid to be agressive in this offseason's negotiations. If we start winning consistently, fans will come. And those fans will bring money.

Sincerely,
Owen Mercer